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Prediction-market execution

Many markets. One disciplined process.

Market intelligence, controlled execution, and a clear record across prediction markets—in your own Kalshi account.

Your account. Your capital. Defined permissions.

Weather · Politics · Economics

Inside a recommendation Illustrative examples
WeatherIllustrative example

KXHIGHNY · 85°F

New York City daily high at 85°F or above

Example execution stateReadyIllustrative checks passed
Example orderBuy NOIOC · signed price ceiling
Limit price
67¢
Contracts
12
Order value*
$8.04
Est. fee
$0.19
Signed price capA defined entry ceiling
Quote & evidenceRechecked before submission
Account limitsCash, exposure & loss gates
Fees includedEvaluate the net economics
Review or standing consent · fill reconciliation

*Order value before fees. Illustrative values, not current recommendations or orders. Market availability depends on enabled strategies and account eligibility.

The evidence behind the estimate

Start with the question.
Follow the evidence.

Weather, political events, and economic releases call for different evidence. Maestro brings each market’s rules, source information, and uncertainty into a consistent decision process.

Explore market intelligenceIllustrative
Different forecasts. Visible uncertainty.
86°F82°F78°F85°F threshold
MorningMiddayAfternoon
Forecast AForecast BForecast C

Illustrative weather data · not a current forecast or trade recommendation

What will the settlement station record?

Connect the contract to forecasts, observations, and the uncertainty that remains.

Station
The specified location and official reporting source
Window
The contract’s observation date and deadline
Evidence
Forecast agreement, fresh observations, and model uncertainty
Resolution
The exact threshold and official settlement rules

One contract. A changing probability.Forecasts inform the estimate. The specified settlement source determines the outcome.

Model validation

Put the estimate
against the outcome.

Maestro compares probability estimates with resolved outcomes to inform calibration and review.

Illustrative data · not investment performance
Example outcomesPerfect calibration
Observed frequency
Predicted probability

Price discipline

A strong thesis needs
the right entry price.

Explore why Maestro checks the price you can actually buy, including fees. Adjust the example and see when an entry stops qualifying.

Explore the entry priceInteractive · illustrative

Move the sliders to see when the economics change.

Example signed ceiling: 68¢
Value estimate
72¢
Entry price
63¢
Assumed fee
2¢
Net edge
+7¢
Price checks pass in this exampleThe estimate leaves room after the assumed fee. All other eligibility and account checks would still apply.

Illustrative $1-payout contract with an assumed fee. Not a live quote or expected return. A losing contract can lose its purchase price and fee.

Try the example

The opportunity has to survive the price.

A market thesis alone is not enough. Maestro checks whether the proposed entry still makes sense at the available price.

  • Include the costs. The entry price and exchange fee both count.
  • Keep the ceiling. A promising estimate cannot override the signed price limit.
  • Check again. Changed market or account conditions can block an entry before submission.
Value vs. cost+7¢ net edge
Estimated payout value72¢
Entry price + fee65¢
Entry priceAssumed fee

68¢ entry-price ceiling. The marker applies to entry price before fees. Positive edge still has to pass the signed price ceiling and account checks.

Discuss your setup

How it works

Choose your control.
See the trade through.

Review each order yourself or authorize automatic execution within your account policy. Explore either mode below; the price and risk checks stay in place.

Walk through human reviewIllustrative · no orders sent
Step 01 / 04

A candidate becomes a bounded instruction.

The chosen side, maximum price, size, and expiry are attached to the generated trade.

What an instruction containsIllustrative order

Buy NO · New York City daily high at 85°F or above

Signed price cap
67¢
Contracts
12
Order value*
$8.04
Est. fee
$0.19

Review or standing consent · IOC order · Fill reconciliation

*Before fees · illustrative values · real-money trading involves risk

Disabling automatic entry stops new orders. Positions already held remain in your account.

Defined boundaries

A candidate has to
earn its next step.

Your next trade is evaluated against the account you actually have: available cash, existing positions, and the policy you authorize.

  • A ceiling on each order

    Fresh prices and fees are checked against the signed price and size limits.

  • Limits across the account

    Cash, event concentration, allocation, and daily-loss limits can reduce or block an entry.

  • Permission to stop

    Either party can disable automatic entry. Stale or mismatched account records can also stop automation.

The same discipline applies across markets: defined permissions, price checks, and account limits. Loss of principal is possible.

When a candidate stopsIllustrative

The price moved beyond the limit.

A favorable estimate cannot override the maximum authorized entry price.

Connected records

The decision is only
the beginning.

Follow the original reasoning through permission, exchange response, and final outcome. Keep proposed trades, actual fills, and realized results distinct.

Inside the record / 01Illustrative

The decision snapshot

Keep the original reasoning attached to its point in time, even when the market or a later estimate changes.

Market context
Contract terms and chosen side
Estimate
Probability and decision-time price
Gate results
Eligibility or a recorded rejection reason
Preserve the original decision
Read the exchange response
Separate evidence from returns

Launch terms

Know what you pay.
Know what it covers.

Entry, ongoing platform maintenance, and performance are separate charges. Review the final terms and eligibility during your private briefing.

Getting started

$3,000
One-time entry fee

A separate initial charge, reviewed with the access and onboarding terms.

Ongoing platform

$200
Monthly platform maintenance

The recurring platform charge applies separately from performance.

Realized performance

10%
Positive realized net profits

High-water mark · no profit, no performance fee.

Illustrative launch terms. Final pricing, investor eligibility, risk disclosures, and offering documents govern. The entry and monthly fees apply separately from the performance fee. Exchange fees also affect trade economics. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Built around your account

Your capital stays yours.
Your setup stays explicit.

Maestro is for investors who want a defined process for supported prediction markets. A briefing establishes the available coverage, account requirements, and level of control that fit your needs.

  1. 01

    Start with a conversation.

    Tell us your goals and whether you prefer human-reviewed or automatic execution.

  2. 02

    Walk through your setup.

    Review the workflow, supported markets, account controls, costs, and risks.

  3. 03

    Confirm the conditions.

    Access follows eligibility review, account setup, required documents, and agreed permissions.

Before you commit

The questions
that matter.

Understand your account, the workflow, and the costs before deciding whether Maestro fits.

What does Maestro do for me?

Maestro brings prediction-market research, trade execution, and account oversight into one workflow. It evaluates a market, defines a proposed order’s price and size, checks the applicable limits, and routes eligible orders to human review or authorized automatic execution. Fills, fees, positions, and settlements remain connected in the trade record.

Where is my money held?

Funds remain in your customer-owned Kalshi account. Maestro uses trading credentials to read account state and submit authorized orders; it does not pool customer capital. Your available cash and existing positions are part of the checks applied before a new order can proceed.

How much control do I have over execution?

Choose human-reviewed or automatic execution. Manual mode requires you to review and confirm each order. Automatic mode requires both standing customer consent and operator authorization, and every entry still faces price and account checks. Either party can disable new automatic entries. Disabling automation does not close positions already held.

Which markets does Maestro cover?

Maestro supports a trading workflow across multiple prediction-market categories, including weather, politics, and economics. Tradable markets depend on enabled strategies, exchange availability, and account eligibility. Your briefing confirms the coverage available to you.

More questions
How does Maestro evaluate different markets?

The analysis starts with the contract’s exact question, observation period, and official settlement source. Weather markets use forecasts and station observations; political markets require event-specific evidence and resolution rules; economic markets depend on the defined indicator, reporting period, and release methodology. Estimates can change as evidence develops. The market rules determine settlement.

Why would Maestro decide not to place a trade?

A promising estimate is only the starting point. A higher entry price or exchange fee can remove the estimated edge. The signed price ceiling, available cash, existing exposure, consent, or account health can also block an entry. Maestro rechecks these conditions before submission and retains the reason when a candidate is rejected.

What can I review after an order is submitted?

The record connects the original decision and authorization to the exchange response. You can review whether an order filled, partially filled, or was canceled, along with the actual price, quantity, and fees. Positions are followed through exit or settlement. An order submission alone is not treated as a completed trade or a realized result.

How do the fees work?

The illustrative launch terms are a $3,000 one-time entry fee, $200 in monthly platform maintenance, and a 10% performance fee on positive realized net profits, subject to a high-water mark. No profit means no performance fee; the entry and monthly fees apply separately. Exchange trading fees also affect trade economics. Final pricing, the performance-fee calculation, and all applicable terms are reviewed in the governing documents before you begin.

Are returns guaranteed, and are the charts actual results?

No returns are guaranteed. Forecasts can be wrong, trades can lose principal, and risk controls do not eliminate market risk. The website’s calibration chart, workflow illustrations, order example, and pricing calculator are illustrative examples, not a live track record or expected return. Evaluate actual fills, fees, and realized results separately from paper or simulated outcomes.

How do I get started, and what happens in the briefing?

Send a short introduction through the briefing request form, including your goals and preferred execution mode. Fly Trader reviews your request and arranges a private walkthrough of the workflow, account controls, and terms. Before access is confirmed, the next steps cover eligibility, Kalshi account setup, required documents, and the permissions needed for your chosen mode.

Your next step

See the process.
Discuss your possibilities.

A private briefing connects Maestro to the markets you can access, the controls you want, and the terms you need to understand.

Your private briefing

  • Walk through the execution workflow
  • Discuss your account and control preferences
  • Review eligibility, risks, and final terms
Request a private briefingYour request goes to Rafael Gomes at Fly Trader.